Gould, Darwin and Paley Meet the Invisible Hand

with fewer) issue. The average form moves slowly in the favored direction, bit by bit per generation, through massive elimination of less favored forms.

The process might not be so inefficient if the hecatomb only occurred once at the beginning or if the sacrifice diminished from generation to generation. Suppose, for example, that the few survivors of the first hecatomb then automatically produced offspring with tendencies to vary in the favored direction. But Mendelian inheritance doesn't work this way. The few survivors of the first elimination yield offspring that also vary at random about the new average. Thus, the hecatomb in the second generation, and in all subsequent sortings, may be just as intense.

We may use an analogy to symbolize the inefficiency of natural selection by hecatomb. Suppose that a population will be better adapted if it can move from A to B. In direct Lamarckian models, including the only evolutionary scheme that Paley managed to conceptualize, the movement is direct, purposeful, and positive. Members of the population get a push and just walk from A to B. In the clumsy, wasteful, blundering, low, and horribly cruel Darwinian hecatomb, each individual stands at spot A and falls at random. Those that happen to fall right along the line to B survive to the next trial. All individuals who fall off the line--the vast majority--are summarily shot. After a round of reproduction among the few survivors of this first hecatomb, the second trial begins. Standing now at one body length along the path to B, all individuals fall at random again--and the process continues. The hecatomb is equally pronounced in each round, and the population moves but one body length toward its goal each time. The population will eventually get to point B, but would any engineer favor such a poky and punitive device? You can hardly blame the divine Paley for not even imagining such a devilish mechanism.

I do not contrast Darwin with Paley as an abstract rhetorical device. During his youth, Darwin, as quoted above, revered Paley. In a courageous act of intellectual parricide, he then overthrew his previous mentor, not merely by becoming an evolutionist, but by constructing a particular version of evolutionary theory maximally disruptive of Paley's system and deepest beliefs.

I can imagine two revolutionary ways--one more radical than the other--to overturn Paley's comfortable and comforting belief that God made us all with shapes and habits beautifully adapted to our modes of life. You might argue that Paley was wrong, that animals are not generally well designed, and that if you insist on seeing God's work in the massive imperfection of nature, then perhaps you ought to revise your notion of divinity. This would be a radical argument, but Darwin devised an even more disturbing version.

Secondly, you might argue (as Darwin actually did) that Paley was quite right: animals arc well adapted to their modes of life. But this adaptation is not an emblem of God's benevolence, good design, on the contrary, is an indirect result of the horrid system of multiple hecatombs known as natural selection. What a bitter pill for Paley--to admit that nature appears in His light, but then to argue that the mechanism for this appearance has a mode of action, and an apparent moral force, directly contrary to the intent and benevolence of the God of Natural Theology.

Where did Darwin get such a radical version of evolution? Surely not from the birds and bees, the twigs and trees. Nature helped, but intellectual revolutions must also have ideological bases. Scholars have debated this question for more than a century, and our current "Darwin industry" of historians has moved this old discussion toward a resolution. The sources were many, various, and exceedingly complex. No two experts would present the same list with the same rankings. But all would agree that two Scottish economists of the generation just before Darwin played a dominant role: Thomas Malthus and the great Adam Smith himself. From Malthus, Darwin received the key insight that growth in population, if unchecked, will outrun any increase in the food supply. A struggle for existence must therefore arise, leading by natural selection to survival of the fittest (to cite all the conventional Darwinian aphorisms). Darwin states that this insight from Malthus supplied the last piece that enabled him to complete the theory of natural selection in 1838 (although he did not publish his views for twenty-one years).

Adam Smith's influence was more indirect, but also more central and pervasive. We know that the Scottish economists interested Darwin greatly and that during the crucial months of 1838, while he assembled the pieces soon to be capped by his Malthusian insight, he was studying the thought of Adam Smith. The theory of natural selection is uncannily similar to the chief doctrine of laissez-faire economics. (In our academic jargon, we would say that the two theories are isomorphic--that is, structurally similar point for point, even though the subject matter differs.) To achieve the goal of a maximally or-

92